BEFORE THE THAW:
HOW ICE SIGNALED THE COMING FIGHT FOR LAND AND WATER
Words: Mathew W. Swenson
Imagery: Elena Stanton
Power rarely announces itself as conquest. It arrives as law and order, and protection. It speaks in the language of fear while quietly rearranging who holds the ground, the water, and the future. What is happening now in Minnesota should be viewed through this lens.
Destabilization as strategy
Unrest is not always a failure of governance because sometimes it is the actually the key objective.
The federal immigration raids of 2026 carried out at scale in Minneapolis have created fear and a deliberate sense of instability. Communities have been disrupted and terrorized while local leaders have been completely undermined. When trust fractures, and then unrest follows, it is cited as evidence that intervention was necessary all along.
This is becoming a very familiar pattern we are witnessing: to provoke disorder then offer relief at a price, and then suddenly a "deal" is made.
Donald Trump: “When there is disorder, we will bring order. We will do whatever it takes.”
That price, in this case, is our very democratic infrastructure. Our X attorney general Pam Bondi asking for voter records in exchange to end the reign of tyranny brought upon us.
This administrative compliance and a reassertion of federal dominance over state autonomy has unmistakable implications. That only cooperation will restore any sort of calm, and any resistance will prolong chaos.
Donald Trump: “When there is disorder, we will bring order. We will do whatever it takes.”
Democracy as bargaining chip
The request for Minnesota’s voter rolls does not exist in a vacuum. This emerged precisely when the state was under pressure, when communities are destabilized, and when federal authority is being openly contested on the streets.
Democracy, here, is being treated not as the protected system it should be, but as a asset open for negociation. The logic is totally transactional: give us access, and the raids end. Refuse, and disorder ensues.
Steve Simon, Minnesota Secretary of State: “Minnesota’s elections are fair, accurate, honest, and secure. Our laws are designed to protect voters, not expose them to political pressure.”
This reframes civic participation as something conditional...something granted or withdrawn based on political alignment. It is a very quiet but radical shift: elections become another domain to be managed and weaponized in service of power consolidation.
Authoritarianism does not begin only by canceling elections outright but rather by redefining who controls them.
“Minnesota’s elections are fair, accurate, honest, and secure. Our laws are designed to protect voters — not expose them to political pressure.” -Steve Simon, Minnesota Secretary of State
Persuasion Before Force
Long before power relies on police or policy, it relies on a powerful story.
In The Century of the Self, Adam Curtis traces how modern political power learned to shape populations through psychological persuasion using public relations to turn desire, fear, and identity into tools of social control. Governments and corporations alike learned that people did not need to be ordered. They only needed to be convinced.
PR became the soft power tool of conquest.
America did not take what it wanted by force alone. It learned to reframe extraction as freedom, consumption as choice, and expansion as security.
Public resistance was neutralized by simply presenting lore and narrative. This lore was framed as an opportunity and progress.
What we are seeing now is not a departure from that playbook, but its escalation.
Unrest is framed up as total chaos. The federal governments presence is framed as protection for the people and a common good. Data collection is framed as integrity. Resource acquisition is framed as national interest. The language does the work long before policy arrives.
Why Minnesota Matters
Minnesota is not incidental to this strategy, but completely essential.
Beneath its forests and lakes lies one of the most valuable concentrations of minerals in North America. Copper. Nickel. Cobalt. Resources critical to modern industry and geopolitical leverage. Above those minerals sits the largest interconnected freshwater watershed in the country! To be exact that is 20% of Americas freshwater. A system whose value will only increase as water scarcity accelerates into the future.
So, if you control the state, you control access. Destabilize the state, and resistance weakens.
Environmental protections around the Boundary Waters have long stood in the way of extraction. The ban on mining has been in place for 20 years! State-level opposition has been one of the last meaningful barriers, but with political realignment through intimidation, or administrative override has changed that equation.
At the federal level, that shift is already underway. A recent U.S. Senate vote has moved to overturn a 20-year mining ban on roughly 350 square miles of land adjacent to the Boundary Waters Canoe Area, reopening the possibility of mineral extraction at its edge. The resolution, backed by Pete Stauber and aligned with campaign commitments from Donald Trump, reverses protections put in place under Joe Biden. It allows Twin Metals (a subsidiary of Antofagasta) to resume its decade-long effort to establish an underground copper mine near Ely. The scale and proximity are not incidental as they mark a transition from contested possibility to active positioning where protected land becomes newly legible as resource.
Pete Stauber: “America needs to mine here, not outsource our mineral production to foreign countries.”
Though the political economy of this struggle is not abstract. In the first Trump administration, Twin Metals’ parent company, Antofagasta PLC, controlled mineral rights that the federal government allowed to proceed toward development even as environmental scrutiny remained intense. At the same time, the company’s owner, Chilean billionaire Andrónico Luksic, was revealed to be the Washington, D.C. landlord for Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner, who rented a house owned by Luksic’s company during the first Trump White House. Whether coincidence or consequence, the optics of this arrangement underscored how access to power and access to resources can become entwined in ways that make local communities collateral in larger geopolitical bets.
“America needs to mine here, not outsource our mineral production to foreign countries.” Pete Stauber (R) Rep for Minnesota's 8th congressional district
Unrest As Cover
What appears as chaos on the ground often functions as top cover for what is really happening.
While attention is focused on protests and “law and order,” administrative decisions move quietly forward. Protections are being rolled back, and leases are being reconsidered.
Tom Emmer: “Minnesota is home to one of the largest untapped critical mineral reserves in the world. These minerals are … essential to our economy and national security.” — GOP Rep.Tom Emmer
The story becomes one of disorder not of acquisition, and this is how power prefers to play.
This pattern extends beyond Minnesota to the far north. Former President Trump has repeatedly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland another landmass rich in rare minerals, increasingly accessible due to melting Arctic ice. Calling it a “core national security interest” and later announcing frameworks of future deals that explicitly include mineral rights. To Greenlanders, concerned that characterizations of their homeland as a “piece of ice” reduce their culture and sovereignty to extractable assets.
The melting ice itself (a consequence of global climate destabilization) paradoxically makes Greenland’s riches more reachable even as it threatens the very landscapes that once lay frozen.
“Minnesota is home to one of the largest untapped critical mineral reserves in the world. These minerals are … essential to our economy and national security.” — (Rep. Tom Emmer press release on critical minerals) - Tom Emmer (R) representing Minnesota's 6th congressional district
The Real Conflict
This is not a fight between left and right. It is a fight between stewardship and extraction. Between democracy as a shared system and democracy as a controllable mechanism. Minnesota’s unrest is not merely civic. It is ecological, strategic, and has long-term goals.
Sen. Tina Smith: “Once clean water is gone, it’s gone. There is no fixing that.”
Taken together, these developments reveal a political trajectory in which water, minerals, and land are treated as a theater in a larger contest for money and power.
The fight over mining protections in the Boundary Waters watershed has become emblematic of how federal energy and resource policy can override local ecological and cultural priorities. At the same time, competing visions of Greenland’s future (framed through national security and competitive extraction) show how natural resource competition overlaps with geopolitical realignment in a warming world.
In this “war of water & ice,” water systems that nurture life and economies become battlegrounds in geopolitical games; places once considered pristine or remote are being reimagined as strategic reserves. Local communities and ecosystems too often become footnotes in narratives dominated by powerbrokers and corporate interests, where stewardship yields to extraction, and democracy bends to administrative prerogative.
Here, the battlefield is not only the street or the ballot box, but quite literally the ground beneath our feet.
The question at the heart of Minnesota’s future and that of all communities facing similar pressures is not whether this is happening, but whether we recognize it in time to stop it.
“Once clean water is gone, it’s gone. There is no fixing that.” - Senator Tina Smith (D) Minnesota
MATHEW W SWENSON
EDITORIAL
Mathew Swenson is a seasoned brand strategist, creative director, and founder of TELL, a platform that explores the intersection of creativity, culture, and Midwestern identity. With over 20 years of experience, Mathew has worked with clients including Estee Lauder, Levi’s, Everlane, COS, Everybody.world, American Apparel, Standard Hotel, William Eggleston, Prospect Refuge and Hennepin Made. His unique ability to craft compelling narratives and bold visual identities has helped shape brands across fashion, home, and culture.
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